National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZUS51 KBUF
FZUS51 KBUF 161503
NSHBUF
Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
For waters within five nautical miles of shore
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
LEZ020-162200
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog
early this afternoon.
TONIGHT
South winds around 10 knots becoming southwest. Patchy
fog. A chance of rain showers.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and
variable. Partly sunny.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Light and variable winds becoming east 5 to
10 knots. Rain showers likely overnight.
WEDNESDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Rain
during the day, then rain with a chance of snow Wednesday night.
THURSDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of rain and snow
Thursday night.
FRIDAY
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Rain
likely with a chance of snow.
The water temperature off Buffalo is 32 degrees.
LOZ030-162200
Lower Niagara River
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly sunny late
this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy.
TONIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of rain showers in the evening. Patchy fog.
TUESDAY
West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable.
Partly sunny.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Light and variable winds becoming east 5 to
10 knots. Rain showers likely overnight.
WEDNESDAY
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Rain
during the day, then rain with a chance of snow Wednesday night.
THURSDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of rain and snow
Thursday night.
FRIDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Rain
likely with a chance of snow during the day, then a chance of
snow and rain Friday night.
LEZ040-041-162200
Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Patchy fog this afternoon. The lake is mostly ice covered.
TONIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Patchy
fog. A chance of rain showers.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming light and
variable. Areas of fog in the morning.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Light and variable winds becoming east 5 to
10 knots. Rain showers likely overnight.
WEDNESDAY
Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast.
Rain during the day, then rain with a chance of snow Wednesday
night.
THURSDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance
of rain and freezing rain Thursday night.
FRIDAY
East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to
15 knots. Rain likely with a chance of freezing rain during the
day, then rain likely with a chance of snow Friday night.
Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
LOZ042-162200
Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Mostly sunny late this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy.
Waves 1 foot or less.
TONIGHT
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Patchy fog in
the evening. A chance of rain showers in the evening. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
TUESDAY
West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Partly to
mostly sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east
10 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or
less.
WEDNESDAY
East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northeast and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Rain during the day, then rain
with a chance of snow Wednesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet building
to 4 to 7 feet, then subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally
around 9 feet.
THURSDAY
East winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain and snow
Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY
East winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain and snow likely. Waves
2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around
6 feet.
LOZ043-044-162200
Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario
including Irondequoit Bay
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
South winds 10 knots or less. Mostly sunny late
this morning, then becoming cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
TONIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
TUESDAY
West winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy in the
morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east.
A chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
WEDNESDAY
East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. Rain
and snow during the day, then rain with a chance of snow
Wednesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves
occasionally around 7 feet.
THURSDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to
20 knots. A chance of snow Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY
East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast. Rain and
snow likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
The water temperature off Rochester is 34 degrees.
LOZ045-162200
Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario
1003 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026
REST OF TODAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly
sunny late this morning, then becoming cloudy. Waves in ice free
areas 1 foot or less.
TONIGHT
South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers in
the evening, then a chance of rain showers and freezing rain
overnight. Patchy fog overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog in the
morning. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 1 foot or
less.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east.
Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
WEDNESDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Snow and rain. Waves 1 foot or less.
THURSDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to
15 knots. A chance of snow during the day. Waves 1 foot or less.
FRIDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
Snow and rain likely. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wave heights are for ice free areas.



