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National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZPN03 KNHC

FZPN03 KNHC 290256
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 15.8N 138.9W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
29 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS FROM
12.5N TO 17N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ULIKA NEAR 17.3N 139.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 20N W OF
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ULIKA W OF AREA NEAR
18.0N 142.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FROM
19N TO 22N W OF 139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ULIKA WELL W OF AREA
NEAR 18.0N 146.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW
DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN NEAR 22.1N 115.1W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 29 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. WITHIN 150 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 22.8N
115.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 23.2N
116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT

48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW
DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N100W TO 17N104W E TO SE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02N BETWEEN 96W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W

INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.27 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95.5W

INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.45 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 15N95W TO 14N95.5W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
13.5N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0215 UTC THU SEP 29...

TROPICAL STORM ULIKA
SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
NE QUADRANT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF
23N115W.

TROUGH FROM 20N107W TO 15N101W
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 18N
BETWEEN TROUGH AND 109W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N94W TO 13N100W...
WHERE IT FRACTURES. IT RESUMES FROM 13N108W TO 09N110W TO
14N131W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG SW OF FIRST TROUGH
SEGMENT WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 09N102W TO 10N108W.


.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.