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TAO performance continues to improve after fourth service cruise. Read more...

NWS Forecast

FZPN03 KNHC 301456
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1630 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 31.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 01.

.WARNINGS.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 11.5N 100.9W 1007 MB AT
1500 UTC OCT 30 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 10.7N 102.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 10.4N 105.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 45 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 11.9N 108.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 15.5N 110.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 20.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

GALE WARNING

WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W

INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 13N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 12N98W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N96W TO 13N98W TO 13N104W N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED NE AND S SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N137W TO 28N140W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N128W TO 26N134W DISSIPATING
TO 24N140W. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N136W TO 27N140W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N118W TO 25N125W.
NW OF A LINE FROM 30N122W TO 17N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 132W AND 138W NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 17N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1430 UTC THU OCT 30...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
        
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 08N88W TO 10N97W RESUMES W OF T.D.
TWENTY ONE-E NEAR 11N104W TO 13N117W TO 12N129W TO 09N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN
90W AND 92W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 130W.


.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.