NWS Forecast

FZNT25 KNHC 072132
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
430 PM EST SAT NOV 07 2009

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...

SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS

SYNOPSIS
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31N51W THROUGH THE S
CENTRAL BAHAMAS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE FAR SE WATERS
ON SUN AS STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE MID-ATLC SHIFTS E WITH A
RIDGE FROM 31N72W TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE AND FROM 31N66W TO
CENTRAL BAHAMAS WED. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
FAR NW WATERS LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS

TONIGHT
NW OF A LINE FROM 26N65W TO 23N71W TO 22N77W TO 29N
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT S OF 27N W OF 77W NE 25 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 29N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 TO 8 FT W OF 75W AND 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL E OF 75W.
ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS S OF 27N W OF 72W. ISOLATED SHOWERS S OF 26N E OF 72W.

SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT
S OF 27N W OF 76W E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT
WITH HIGHER GUSTS BECOMING E TO SE MON. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 29N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
IN NE SWELL. N OF 29N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.

TUE THROUGH THU
W OF BAHAMAS E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
EXCEPT FAR NW PORTION BECOMING NE AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT
WED. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT FAR NW PORTION BUILDING TO 9 TO 12
FT WED. E OF BAHAMAS NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT FAR SE
PORTION NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL EXCEPT
FAR SE PORTION 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SE U.S.
INTERACTING WITH BROAD LOW PRES OVER THE SW GULF AND NW
CARIBBEAN WILL MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND MIDDLE GULF TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...ALLOWING FOR
STRONG NE TO E WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK AS TROPICAL STORM IDA OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 18.9N
AND TRACKS NW THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SUN AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. IDA IS FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 22N 86W BY SUN
EVENING...TO NEAR 24N 87.5W BY EARLY MON MORNING. IDA IS THEN
EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM TUE WHILE
MOVING TO THE N AND REACHING NEAR 29N 87W LATE TUE MORNING AND
THEN WILL SLOWLY TURN MORE E THEN E-SE THROUGH WED. STRONG N
WINDS WILL OVERTAKE THE WESTERN GULF TUE THROUGH THU AS A
STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRES MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 25N E OF 90W SUN
NIGHT THROUGH MON...

STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 23N MON NIGHT THROUGH WED

TONIGHT
N OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25
TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL BUILDING 7
TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

SUN AND SUN NIGHT
N OF 25N E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13
FT IN E SWELL BUILDING 10 TO 15 FT SUN AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. S
OF 25N E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
SUN NIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN
E SWELL BUILDING 10 TO 15 FT IN MIXED E AND SE SWELL BUILDING
15 TO 18 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 25N.

MON AND MON NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF
28N. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS NEAR 33 FT.
N OF 28N E OF 87W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN
E AND SE SWELL. N OF 28N W OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 16 FT IN E AND SE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

MON NIGHT AND TUE
N OF 23N E TO SE WINDS 40 TO 45 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING SE TO S MON NIGHT THEN S TO SW TUE.
SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

WED
N OF 23N S TO SW WINDS 35 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT WED NIGHT THEN
BECOMING NE TO E LATE. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 14
FT WED NIGHT. ELSEWHERE N TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 11 FT WED NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS E PORTION.

THU
N OF 23N NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 26N W OF 82W SUN
NIGHT THROUGH MON...
...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 26N W OF 82W TUE NIGHT THROUGH
THU...

TONIGHT THROUGH SUN
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER
GUSTS S OF 26N. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT S OF 27N AND 7 TO 10 FT N OF
27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS S OF 27N.

SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXPECTED S OF 26N W OF 82W. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGHEST SEAS NEAR 18 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS W PORTION.

TUE THROUGH WED
N OF 26N E OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT
INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT LATE TUE AND
EARLY WED...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE WED. SEAS 10
TO 14 FT. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS N AND CENTRAL PORTIONS.

THU
N OF 26N W OF 82W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

SYNOPSIS
STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM IDA ACROSS THE NW
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS TO 75 KT. IDA IS FORECAST
TO MOVE N-NW THIS EVENING...STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE
OVERNIGHT REACHING NEAR 21N 85W SUN MORNING...NEAR 22N 86.5W
SUN EVENING WHERE IT WILL ENTER THE FAR S GULF OF MEXICO
WATERS. IN ITS WAKE...A WEAK PRES GRADIENT WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT
TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE BASIN. NORTHERLY SWELLS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC
AND ATLC PASSAGES MON THROUGH WED.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W

TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 17N W OF 84W

TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
120 NM NE...75 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS
OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
90 NM SE AND 75 NM SW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT BUILDING
TO 18 TO 20 FT TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W
OF 81W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT S OF IDA.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT S OF IDA. S OF 18N W OF
81W VARIABLE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL
SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT BY SUN NIGHT. E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15
TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 81W.

MON AND MON NIGHT
N OF 18N W OF 82W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30
KT DIMINISHING TO S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT
EXCEPT VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT W OF 84W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO
3 FT W OF 84W. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS FAR NW PART BECOMING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.

TUE AND WED
E OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT WED. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 84W VARIABLE
WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS FAR NW PART.

THU
W OF 80W NW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT
EXCEPT 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL YUCATAN CHANNEL. E OF 80W SW TO W
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.